Trump Policies & People
An Overview of the Second Term
Overview

The Administration's Theory of Executive Control

The intellectual framework underlying the administration's approach holds that a sprawling, tenured career bureaucracy has become a power unto itself — resistant to elected leadership and unaccountable to voters. President Trump has repeatedly accused federal workers of intentionally trying to thwart his agenda, invoking the language of a "deep state." The constitutional rationale, pressed by the Justice Department and ultimately accepted by the Supreme Court's conservative majority, is that the president's Article II authority requires him to direct and remove officials who exercise executive power without exception for so-called independent agencies.

Previous administrations and Congress had long understood the relevant statutory language to apply to a smaller number of positions filled by political appointees. Project 2025, organized by the Heritage Foundation, openly advocated for a revival of Schedule F as part of a broader effort to "bend or break the bureaucracy to the presidential will." The administration has adopted, and in some respects exceeded, that framework — treating presidential accountability not merely as a management preference but as a constitutional imperative that overrides existing statutory civil service protections.

Agency Reorganization, Staffing, and Spending

On January 20, 2025, President Trump issued an executive order titled "Establishing and Implementing the President's 'Department of Government Efficiency,'" which reorganized the U.S. Digital Service as the U.S. DOGE Service. The order directed the reorganized entity to "implement the President's DOGE Agenda, by modernizing Federal technology and software to maximize governmental efficiency and productivity." In practice, DOGE's early activities extended well beyond technology modernization. Since taking office, Trump and the Musk-led DOGE operation set forth executing that plan by eliminating entire agencies, firing tens of thousands of workers, and testing the legal system and reach of the executive branch.

The administration reported that it shrunk the federal bureaucracy by ten percent in 2025. More than 100,000 federal workers were fired or took buyouts to leave the civil service, though ongoing court battles have affected those numbers. The budget picture has been more complicated than early ambitions suggested. Early expectations that DOGE would quickly shrink agency budgets and reduce the size and scope of the federal government have not fully aligned with results; data from multiple agencies shows that even with fewer full-time-equivalent positions, budget reductions have been slower and less substantial than anticipated. The White House's fiscal year 2026 budget proposed to cut discretionary spending by more than a quarter in five cabinet departments while increasing the Department of Homeland Security's budget by nearly 65 percent.

In November 2025, it was announced that DOGE no longer formally existed. The administration has nonetheless pressed ahead with measures aimed at reining in the federal workforce — limiting disciplinary appeals, shielding a new class of quasi-political officers from financial disclosures, and clamping down on oversight of senior career staff — despite DOGE quietly expiring on July 4 under the 2025 executive order.

Efficiency, Accountability, and Political Direction

The administration argues that concentrating executive authority in the presidency is itself a form of accountability — that voters who elect a president should be able to expect that his appointees, rather than a permanent civil service, control executive agencies. The White House has characterized the reforms as eliminating waste, reducing bureaucracy, and restoring accountability, with agencies streamlined and taxpayer dollars redirected toward core national priorities.

Critics argue that the approach conflates accountability with political loyalty. The final Schedule Policy/Career rule ran more than 250 pages and addressed thousands of public comments; many commenters argued that the reclassification would politicize the federal workforce, damage the nonpartisan nature of the career civil service, and undermine democracy. The proposal received over 40,000 public comments in 45 days, with about 94 percent opposed and roughly 5 percent in support. The distinction between holding agencies accountable for results and directing them toward partisan ends is precisely what civil service law was designed to enforce — and what critics contend is being dismantled.

The Supreme Court, in a 6-3 ruling in late June 2026, concluded that the president has far-reaching authority to fire leaders of independent agencies and commissions, a decision that critics say could lead to timid enforcement and allow the White House to exert pressure on behalf of the president's allies. The ruling substantially weakens statutory insulation for officials of multimember agencies who exercise executive power, and will likely increase the degree to which commissioners at so-called independent agencies respond to an administration's priorities and political pressures.

Expertise, Continuity, and Administrative Capacity

The pace and breadth of workforce reduction have raised questions about whether the federal government retains the institutional knowledge necessary to perform its statutory functions. The civil service system built over more than a century was designed precisely to insulate technical and legal expertise from the disruptions of electoral cycles — ensuring that agencies could carry out complex, long-duration functions such as the census, federal procurement, environmental permitting, and financial regulation regardless of which party held the White House.

President Trump issued an executive order in June 2026 turning an estimated 8,000 federal workers into at-will employees, culminating an effort he launched during his first term. Nearly all of the 8,000 people affected are at the highest level of the civil service, known as GS-15. These are disproportionately the specialists — senior scientists, lawyers, contracting officers, economists — whose departure is hardest to reverse and whose institutional knowledge is most difficult to replace quickly. In February 2026, the Office of Personnel Management finalized a rule to regulate Schedule Policy/Career; the category broadly applies to career federal employees in policymaking roles, though the full scope of which positions will be affected remains unclear, as agency heads must recommend specific roles to the president.

Unlike in the early days of DOGE, when recruits with little or no government experience staged blistering assaults on agencies and wound up on the wrong end of federal court injunctions, the Trump administration has since moved toward a more procedurally careful approach — using formal rulemaking to achieve many of the same ends. Whether this shift translates into more durable governance or merely more durable political control remains a matter of significant disagreement among public administration scholars.

Legal Constraints and Congressional Authority

The administration's restructuring agenda has faced persistent legal challenges, though its position has strengthened substantially over time. Early DOGE operations were checked by multiple federal courts on grounds ranging from improperly accessing sensitive data systems to unlawfully abolishing agencies without congressional action. Many of those disputes remain in litigation.

The most significant legal development came on June 29, 2026, when the Supreme Court decided Trump v. Slaughter. The Court held 6-3 that Congress may not restrict the president's power to remove members of so-called independent executive agencies, overruling Humphrey's Executor v. United States, a 1935 precedent that had for nine decades insulated agency commissioners from removal without cause. The Court concluded that FTC commissioners exercise executive power through the agency's rulemaking, enforcement, administrative adjudication, and litigation authority, and therefore must be removable by the president at will. The Court did not treat all independent agencies the same; in a companion case decided the same day, it treated the Federal Reserve differently because of its unique role in monetary policy, leaving it as a limited exception.

Congressional authority over agency structure and spending has been tested but not definitively resolved. The administration's impoundment of appropriated funds and its closure of statutory programs without legislative authorization have been challenged in court, but Congress — with thin Republican majorities — has largely declined to assert its institutional prerogatives through legislation. The administration published its 2026 regulatory blueprint in early July with more than a dozen new proposals slated for the Office of Personnel Management and the Merit Systems Protection Board in the coming months, signaling that executive action will continue to be the primary vehicle for restructuring.

The Test of the New Federal Government

What is established is substantial: the federal workforce has contracted significantly, the career civil service's legal insulation has been reduced through both rulemaking and now Supreme Court precedent, and the formal independence of regulatory commissions has been constitutionally curtailed. The executive branch has demonstrated that it can impose rapid organizational change on the administrative state, even against significant legal resistance.

What remains disputed is whether these changes improve actual government performance. The savings claimed by the DOGE effort are disputed; while the agency stated that it had saved more than $200 billion, some sources claimed that it cost Americans billions of dollars. Budget data suggests that realized reductions have been smaller than the rhetoric implied, and the costs of court-ordered reinstatements, procurement disruptions, and lost institutional knowledge are not captured in the savings tallies the administration has publicized.

What has not yet been fully tested is the downstream effect on mission-critical functions that depend on stable, expert bureaucracies: the accuracy of the 2030 census preparations now underway with a diminished Census Bureau workforce, the integrity of federal procurement at a time when contracting officers have been substantially reduced, and the enforcement capacity of regulatory agencies whose commissioners now serve entirely at the president's pleasure. These are not abstract governance concerns. They will become concrete as programs reach their operational deadlines. The administration's theory predicts a leaner, more responsive government; its critics predict a less capable and more politically directed one. The evidence to test those competing claims is still accumulating.

Sources

Competitive Enterprise Institute, "Evaluating DOGE Halfway Through Trump's Second Term" (Jul 2026)

Congress.gov / Congressional Research Service, "Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) Executive Order: Early Implementation" (Feb 2025)

Congress.gov / Congressional Research Service, "A New Civil Service 'Policy/Career' Schedule: Issues for Lawmakers" (Jan 2025)

Federal News Network, "Trump Administration Advances Plan to Strip Job Protections from Career Federal Employees" (Feb 2026)

NPR, "Trump Strips Job Protections from 8,000 Federal Workers" (Jun 2026)

NPR, "Supreme Court Cements Trump's Power over Agencies Long Considered Independent" (Jun 2026)

Bloomberg Law, "Trump's Federal Workforce Overhaul Forges Ahead Even After DOGE" (Jul 2026)

A&O Shearman, "U.S. Supreme Court Expands Presidential Control over Independent Agencies" (Jul 2026)

Gibson Dunn, "Supreme Court Rules 'Independent' Executive Agencies Unconstitutional" (Jun 2026)

White House, "Reform Government (DOGE)" (Aug 2026)

Further Reading

Further Reading and Listening

The Return of Schedule F

Lawfare, May 2025

Nick Bednar's legal tracker and analysis explains how Schedule Policy/Career reclassifies tens of thousands of "policy-influencing" federal positions into the excepted service, stripping removal protections and raising core questions about the merit principles embedded in the Civil Service Reform Act of 1978. Essential background for understanding the legal architecture of the administration's workforce strategy.

Trump Fired 17 Inspectors General—Was It Legal?

Lawfare, January 27, 2025

Harvard Law professor Jack Goldsmith provides a careful constitutional analysis of whether Trump's mass removal of inspectors general — without the 30-days' congressional notice required by a 2022 law — was lawful, and explains why the restrictions on replacing them with loyalists may prove to be the more consequential legal constraint.

Report Outlines Contributions of Inspectors General Fired by Trump

Lawfare, July 23, 2025

Drawing on a Senate oversight committee report, this piece documents the financial recoveries and ongoing investigations that the fired inspectors general had generated, and argues that the administration's personnel actions were designed to cripple the civil service as a deliberate goal rather than a byproduct of reform.

Trump's Unprecedented Meddling Has Turned OGE into a Revolving Door

Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW), August 2025

This investigation details how Trump's removal of the Senate-confirmed Office of Government Ethics director — and subsequent installation of four acting heads in a single year — has eroded the executive branch's primary conflict-of-interest watchdog at a moment of heightened ethics scrutiny around administration officials.

How Many People Can the Federal Government Lose Before It Crashes?

Brookings Institution, February 23, 2026

Senior Fellow Elaine Kamarck compiles agency-level data to assess where the deferred-resignation program, buyouts, and firings have left critical functions — from nuclear-weapons oversight at the NNSA to Social Security processing — and examines the point at which staffing losses risk operational failure.

Federal Workforce Shrank 10% in Trump's First Year Back in Office

Pew Research Center, March 13, 2026

Using official Office of Personnel Management payroll data, Pew documents that the federal workforce lost nearly 238,000 workers in 2025 — a 10.3 percent decline — with the Department of Education and USAID absorbing the deepest cuts, providing a precise empirical baseline for assessing the scale of the transformation.

DOGE Produced the Largest Peacetime Workforce Cut on Record, but Spending Kept Rising

Cato Institute, January 6, 2026

A libertarian-leaning fiscal analysis finds that while DOGE engineered an historically large reduction in federal employment, cumulative federal outlays in 2025 tracked closely with pre-DOGE Congressional Budget Office projections — because most federal spending flows through entitlement programs rather than payroll — offering a data-grounded corrective to both supporters' and critics' claims.

State Capacity and American Power

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, June 2026

This report situates the DOGE-era workforce reductions within a longer history of declining federal administrative capacity, arguing that cuts now bring civilian employment to levels not seen since 1966 and risk compounding the government's already reduced ability to exercise American power abroad and deliver services at home.

Trump Officials Propose Testing a Citizenship Question Amid a Push to Alter the Census

NPR, February 5, 2026

NPR reports that the Trump administration proposed inserting a citizenship question into the 2026 field test for the 2030 census — using an American Community Survey form rather than the standard decennial questionnaire — explaining the constitutional stakes around apportionment and the distributional implications for some $2.8 trillion in federal funds.

Trump Officials Push Citizenship Question in Test Survey for 2030 Census

Axios, February 6, 2026

Axios frames the citizenship-question field test within the administration's broader strategy to reshape how the U.S. counts its population and reduce the counting of undocumented immigrants for congressional apportionment and Electoral College purposes, noting the question had previously been blocked by the Supreme Court in 2019.

The Department of Justice's Broken Accountability System

Brennan Center for Justice, 2025

This institutional research report documents how the Trump administration gutted internal DOJ accountability mechanisms — including the Office of Professional Responsibility and the Inspector General's investigative capacity — tracing how the removal of career oversight officials has left the department with diminished ability to detect or respond to misconduct by political appointees.

DOGE Cuts to Federal Government Staffing and Spending

NPR, October 1, 2025

As fiscal year 2025 closed, NPR's fiscal analysis found that the federal deficit had grown by nearly $2 trillion despite DOGE's savings claims, and documented persistent errors and overstatements in DOGE's public "wall of receipts" tracker — including a highlighted contract cancellation that had not actually been terminated and whose value was overstated by a factor of nearly 30.

Discussion

All comments and responses are publicly visible.

To comment, you must register with a working email address.

Because the site is updated regularly, if you are commenting on a specific passage, consider copying the relevant text into your comment so readers can tell exactly what you are referring to.

We especially welcome proposed topics, corrections, and suggestions.

Please address the subject matter rather than other commenters personally. Spam, abusive material, substantially off-topic comments, and other inappropriate comments may be removed.

0 Comments
Newest
Oldest